Real Estate Market Update - 2025 December Issue

Real Estate Market Update - 2025 December Issue

  • Darcy Toombs
  • 12/24/25

TheMarket: York Region Real Estate Update – December 2025

By The Toombs Team


👉 📖 View TheMarket – December 2025 Edition

As we move toward the end of the year, the York Region real estate market has grown noticeably quieter, and this time, it’s not just seasonal slowdown. November’s numbers confirm that home sales continue to trail last year’s pace, extending a period of subdued activity that has defined much of 2025.

This shift doesn’t signal instability, but rather a market recalibrating. Elevated inventory, affordability pressures, and cautious buyer behaviour are shaping conditions that feel slower, more deliberate, and far more strategic than in recent years.

Affordability Still Sets the Pace

Affordability remains the single biggest influence on market activity. While interest rates have continued to ease gradually, monthly carrying costs remain high at today’s price levels. For many buyers, the math still doesn’t justify urgency.

As a result, buyers are taking their time, waiting for clearer rate relief or more compelling value before committing. The market isn’t frozen, but it is selective, with fewer emotional decisions and more emphasis on long-term financial comfort.

Inventory Growth Reshapes Buyer Behaviour

At the same time, inventory across York Region remains significantly higher than this time last year. Communities such as Aurora, Newmarket, and East Gwillimbury continue to see elevated active listings, reinforcing a key theme of late 2025: choice.

With more homes available, buyers now hold greater leverage. Showings are more spaced out, negotiations are more common, and conditional offers are the norm. This is no longer a speed-driven market, it’s one where preparation and pricing precision matter more than ever.

Investors Remain on the Sidelines

Investor activity continues to stay muted. With rental markets softening and margins tightening, much of the speculative demand that once fueled volume has stepped away. Instead, the market is being driven primarily by end users, families upsizing or downsizing, professionals relocating, and homeowners making lifestyle-based decisions.

While this shift contributes to lower overall sales numbers, it also supports a more balanced and sustainable market dynamic.

A Balanced Market Takes Shape

November’s data reinforces what we’ve seen throughout the year: York Region has transitioned into a balanced, methodical market. Neither buyers nor sellers hold overwhelming control, and success depends far less on speed and far more on strategy.

Well-priced homes still sell, but unrealistic expectations are quickly exposed. For buyers, patience and preparation are rewarded with stronger negotiating power and better selection.

Looking Ahead to 2026

As we enter the final weeks of 2025 and look ahead to 2026, the market is expected to remain calm through the winter months. Seasonal listing declines may help absorb some excess inventory, but meaningful shifts will likely depend on further rate clarity and broader economic confidence.

For anyone considering a move in the coming year, now is the time to understand the data, align expectations, and build a clear plan, not react to headlines.

The Takeaway

December’s market update, based on November statistics, confirms a market defined by balance rather than buzz. Sales remain subdued, inventory is elevated, and affordability continues to shape decision-making, but stability is returning through thoughtful, strategic activity.

For a deeper dive into York Region’s pricing trends, sales data, inventory levels, and neighbourhood-specific insights, explore the latest edition of 📊 TheMarket: Regional Monthly Real Estate Magazine.

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